What can we expect to pay more for?

Overall U.S. food prices increased by 3.1% in the 12 months leading up to September 2025, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Specifically, food at home (groceries) rose 2.7%, while food away from home (restaurants) grew 3.1% over the same period. However, prices for certain items have seen different trends, such as an approximate 14% increase for ground beef and a 29% increase for orange juice, while the average price of eggs has declined from its peak last year. 

Overall price changes

  • Overall food: +3.1% in the 12 months ending September 2025
  • Food at home (groceries): +2.7% in the 12 months ending September 2025
  • Food away from home (restaurants): +3.1% in the 12 months ending September 2025 

Specific item changes

  • Ground beef: +14% over the last year
  • Orange juice: +29% over the last year
  • Eggs: Prices are down from their peak in 2024, with the average price now below the level of a year ago.
  • Cereals and bakery products: +1.6% in the 12 months ending September 2025.
  • Meats, poultry, fish, and eggs: Prices are up 4.3% in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area over the past year.
  • Fruits and vegetables: Prices are down 4.8% in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area over the past year. 

Factors affecting prices

  • Economy-wide inflationary factors, supply chain issues, and wholesale food prices have eased compared to 2022.
  • Lower energy prices and cooling labor pressures are also contributing to the slowdown in food price growth. 

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